Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2095.511367 2277.562644 2462.394607 2663.805725 2876.805952 3095.070030 3335.340226
2025-02-23 1811.579333 2083.121626 2369.627886 2693.293846 3047.608994 3422.551091 3848.165053
2025-03-02 1611.116801 1933.264387 2283.059777 2688.721188 3143.821329 3636.299565 4207.137970
2025-03-09 1487.084703 1849.211537 2251.867693 2728.878461 3274.591873 3875.569638 4583.512679
2025-03-16 1348.790252 1734.958899 2174.036805 2704.525973 3322.316134 4013.458816 4839.354674
2025-03-23 1279.089114 1693.478173 2173.616465 2763.296058 3460.135264 4249.739093 5204.213744
2025-03-30 1195.664173 1628.725653 2139.844552 2777.577049 3541.788210 4418.241066 5489.164062
2025-04-06 1116.103172 1562.933852 2099.759207 2779.710269 3605.267547 4562.766743 5744.399349
2025-04-13 1004.523802 1450.275367 1996.333140 2699.311723 3564.876788 4580.781536 5847.635149
2025-04-20 980.559584 1447.305379 2027.137623 2782.263093 3721.245003 4832.487715 6228.267431
2025-04-27 941.032846 1421.417610 2026.928395 2824.911723 3827.209141 5023.375301 6536.776323
2025-05-04 885.264445 1370.837578 1992.469267 2822.049795 3875.073887 5142.800736 6758.840099
2025-05-11 824.251836 1310.982138 1944.525736 2801.299361 3900.910631 5236.792488 6952.980129
2025-05-18 788.187297 1283.465844 1937.544206 2832.283808 3991.521575 5410.744784 7245.991474
2025-05-25 741.286644 1238.174539 1904.658776 2827.533584 4035.179586 5525.642908 7466.200215
2025-06-01 714.934825 1220.528723 1907.746519 2869.168984 4137.795571 5714.077660 7777.999324
2025-06-08 666.800190 1168.801011 1862.084607 2843.920975 4152.288769 5790.798840 7950.375858
2025-06-15 651.416781 1164.294421 1880.913822 2904.848363 4279.024210 6009.685854 8301.461428
2025-06-22 621.810505 1136.936147 1866.508264 2919.651601 4344.527147 6150.589528 8554.965772
2025-06-29 590.083589 1104.694712 1843.785878 2921.862766 4392.514033 6268.700733 8779.808714
2025-07-06 534.436523 1032.481629 1761.103943 2838.514685 4324.011702 6235.005925 8810.271662
2025-07-13 531.873309 1043.757327 1799.496279 2924.508844 4483.712654 6497.642772 9220.601057
2025-07-20 517.515933 1035.342862 1808.447442 2968.711860 4586.902223 6687.214574 9538.248798